‘Ralph Breaks The Internet’ And ‘Creed II’ Both Broke Box Office Records On Tuesday
In Tuesday preview news, Ralph Breaks the Internet earned a promising $3.8 million in preview screenings. That’s a record-high preview haul for a Disney Thanksgiving release, besting Coco ($2.3m towards an eventual $73m Wed-Sun debut weekend), Moana ($2.6m towards an $82m holiday haul), The Good Dinosaur ($1.3m towards a $55m launch) and Frozen ($1.2m towards a $93m wide release debut frame). So if the John C. Reilly/Sarah Silverman animated sequel is anywhere near as leggy as those prior flicks, then we’re looking at a massive Wed-Sun Thanksgiving haul.
If it ends up as leggy as Coco or Moana, then it’ll snag a $106 million-$116m five-day launch. If that sounds optimistic, then we can note that Despicable Me 3 nabbed $4.1m on its Thursday preview launch and eventually earned $99m over its Fri-Tues July 4 weekend. Said comparison would give Ralph Breaks the Internet a still-massive $91.7m over the long haul.
The film has solid reviews, a well-liked predecessor and plenty of pre-release buzz heading into the weekend. And if Crimes of Grindelwald plays as a fans-only affair, well, a $90 million+ launch isn’t beyond the realm of sanity (although a $75m launch would still be okay). The movie is a huge test case for Walt Disney, as it’s their first intended-for-theaters sequel to one of their narrative features (not counting Pixar or ToonDisney) since The Rescuers Down Under back in 1990.
Creed II, which is frankly the best possible movie that Sylvester Stallone and friends could have made with the ridiculous “Creed’s son now has to fight Drago’s son” premise, earned a whopping $3.7 million in preview screenings. That’s the second-biggest Thanksgiving preview haul ever and the biggest live-action preview gross. The Michael B. Jordan/Tessa Thompson boxing drama, which is a sequel to Creed, another Rocky movie and a direct continuation from Rocky IV (so is Creed 2 a sequel to Rocky IV or a sequel to the sequel to Rocky IV?) .
The first Creed, directed by Ryan Coogler, earned $1.5 million in Tuesday previews three years ago to end its Wed-Sun frame with a $42m debut. I expect the sequel to be more frontloaded, but even a 6% Tuesday-to-weekend figure (nearly double the first film’s 3.5%) gives MGM and New Line Cinemas’ sequel a dynamite $61m launch. Again, that may be overly optimistic (official projections are around $45m-$55m), but even an MCU-ish 9% gives Creed II a strong $41m start.